Pivot Point And Fibonacci Trading (Part I)

By Ahmad Hassam

The use of Fibonacci retracement levels and pivot points are often considered by their adherents as complete, self contained trading strategies. Some traders are diehard fans of the Fibonacci and pivot point trading.

Don't confuse the two methods as one. I want to make it clear the Fibonacci Retracement and the Pivot Points are two different methods and must not be confused as a single trading method. Both produce mathematically derived support and resistance levels that traders may use either as indicators of possible retracement turns or as zones to watch for breakouts. The horizontal price levels that are generated through Fibonacci retracement levels and the pivot points are calculated using different methods and formulas.

Why Fibonacci retracement levels and the pivot points work most of the time? What makes these tools work surprisingly well under diverse market conditions is the simple fact that many traders both small and large use Fibonacci retracement levels and pivot points in their trading.

Markets are just people like you and me buying or selling. In our case, trading again buying and selling securities or currencies! Once people start believing in something, it starts getting reflected in the market price action. This is why significant price action occurs around these levels due to the fact that many traders are watching and reacting to these price levels. Therefore the levels derived from these two tools become self fulfilling prophecy.

This phenomenon contributes to the Fibonacci retracement levels and pivot points frequent effectiveness and accuracy in describing the market movement. The most common Fibonacci retracement levels are 23.6%, 38.2% and 61.8%. These three Fibonacci retracement levels are most frequently followed by the traders.

Very often, you will hear the commentary on CNBC or Bloomberg that price is approaching the 38.2% retracement level and something important like a turn could occur at this level. This shows the popularity of Fibonacci retracement levels among the trading community.

Both methods have clear cut locations for the stop loss placement similar to most support/resistance trading methods. Fibonacci retracements can be traded either as a breakout opportunity or as a retracement bounce. Fibonacci levels can also be used as profit targets for existing open trades.

Pivot points are derived mathematically from the previous day's data that includes the previous day's high. Low and close. The main pivot point (PP) is calculated by taking the average of the high, low and close of the previous days' price action.

After calculating the main pivot point (PP), four other primary pivot points are calculated from the main pivot point (PP). Two are below the main PP. Two are above the main PP. The levels above are R1 and R2 where R stands for resistance.

You can still use the main pivot point (PP) as the only number in your trading but traders who frequently use pivot points in trading have refined these numbers into more sub-numbers. The two levels below the main PP are the S1 and S2 where S stands for the Support. Often these pivot points are further extended to R3 and S3. You can easily find a pivot point calculator online. Most of the charting software also can calculate the pivot points.

However, it is always good for the trader to know how these numbers are calculated. This will give the trader an understanding of how these numbers are calculated and what are the variables that are used to calculate them. - 31876

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